Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.361595 2.699689 3.070239 3.506702 4.007031 4.562997 5.228161
2025-08-03 1.816865 2.267046 2.805951 3.499525 4.370025 5.428481 6.816443
2025-08-10 1.508012 1.997508 2.619886 3.471124 4.608343 6.079914 8.136487
2025-08-17 1.282197 1.782922 2.451592 3.412727 4.764117 6.604501 9.315045
2025-08-24 1.151053 1.669551 2.392141 3.476771 5.071493 7.342669 10.845489
2025-08-31 1.043491 1.571578 2.336105 3.529048 5.354718 8.061464 12.413022
2025-09-07 0.936155 1.458746 2.241859 3.507563 5.516423 8.605817 13.764374
2025-09-14 0.836465 1.344786 2.131035 3.443645 5.598100 9.025341 14.952320
2025-09-21 0.758399 1.255417 2.047303 3.410069 5.718454 9.509113 16.284748
2025-09-28 0.687748 1.170046 1.960125 3.359096 5.800089 9.930261 17.546499
2025-10-05 0.675742 1.181014 2.031693 3.580950 6.364508 11.215851 20.442750
2025-10-12 0.632998 1.134259 1.999864 3.618018 6.605590 11.957982 22.435411
2025-10-19 0.600733 1.107295 2.007563 3.741159 7.042455 13.145348 25.490935
2025-10-26 0.551310 1.044796 1.946956 3.735662 7.247428 13.943612 27.936934
2025-11-02 0.504748 0.982039 1.878279 3.705204 7.397592 14.648908 30.279636
2025-11-09 0.459824 0.917284 1.798459 3.642769 7.474938 15.215850 32.404737
2025-11-16 0.434583 0.888518 1.785117 3.711246 7.824314 16.367310 35.903191
2025-11-23 0.410374 0.859094 1.767045 3.767143 8.152268 17.508679 39.521937
2025-11-30 0.380789 0.815260 1.714769 3.744169 8.306706 18.294659 42.441054
2025-12-07 0.350044 0.765695 1.645329 3.675827 8.352138 18.844495 44.881941
2025-12-14 0.325066 0.726101 1.593169 3.639927 8.466094 19.559138 47.802001
2025-12-21 0.300944 0.685936 1.535696 3.585429 8.530080 20.164203 50.530418
2025-12-28 0.300586 0.699817 1.600372 3.822640 9.313937 22.556875 58.042790